Georgia – Raphael Warnock
Since winning one of Georgia's two Senate seats that were up for special election in January 2021, Warnock has been a key target for national Republicans.
Warnock is most likely to face former NFL player and Heisman Trophy winner Herschel Walker in November. Walker has been endorsed by both Mitch McConnell and former President Donald Trump.
Arizona – Mark Kelly
Elected and seated in 2020 to fill the seat of the late John McCain, Kelly is now running for his first full term. The former NASA astronaut and United States Navy captain has tried to set himself apart from his party and the president on issues that matter to Arizonans such as border security.
Last month he called out the administration for not having a plan to address the immigration crisis on the southern border. It remains to be seen if that will be enough to separate Kelly from Biden in the eyes of Arizona voters.
Blake Masters is a name that keeps coming up in the field of Kelly's potential GOP challengers. Masters has close ties to tech billionaire Peter Thiel, having led both Thiel's non-profit and venture capital firm.
New Hampshire – Maggie Hassan
New Hampshire is a state that is usually at the forefront of national Republicans' minds due to the state's first-in-the-nation presidential primary. This year brings a new reason to focus both attention and money on the state. Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan is running for reelection in a seat that she won by 1,017 votes in 2016.
Other factors to weigh in this race are the unpopularity that President Joe Biden has in the state, and how popular Republican Governor Chris Sununu is.
Notably, Sununu chose not to run for the Senate seat and instead is seeking another term as governor, which leaves Republicans with no clear frontrunner in a race with one of the last primaries in the country — on September 13th.
Nevada – Catherine Cortez Masto
Democratic win margins in Nevada were virtually unchanged from 2016 to 2020. Additionally, Cortez Masto and Biden won their campaigns by about 2%. Another factor that may play a part in the election this year is that Nevada was a state that has seen significant population growth. The state was number five on the list of the ten fastest-growing states according to U.S. News and World Report, based on 2020 census numbers. One of Nevada's biggest draws is that there is no state income tax, which could weigh more heavily on conservative-minded Americans.
Cortez Masto's Republican opponent will most likely be the state's former attorney general — Adam Laxalt. Laxalt has drawn support from the likes of Donald Trump, Mitch McConnell and Ron DeSantis. Mike Pompeo will head to the state next week to campaign with Laxalt ahead of the state's June 14th primary.
Washington – Patty Murray
Although Washington is a solidly blue state, a big enough red wave could flip this seat. All statewide seats are held by Democrats, but the Washington State Republican Party did hold a majority of state senate seats as recently as 2017.
In Tiffany Smiley, Washington Republicans have a candidate who is a breath of fresh air. Smiley is a political outsider whose eyes were opened to the inefficiencies of big government when she had to fight the VA system to get care for her husband, who lost his sight in Iraq after being injured in a suicide bomber attack.
The $2.5 million her team has on hand, per Q1 FEC filing data, definitely won't hurt her chances either.
The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the positions of American Liberty News.
I doubt more than 2 seats will change because it’s not a presidential election and the left will be able to focus on election fraud providing a more precise attack. Republicans are not committed to fight fire with fire. There has been very little if any attempt to put those responsible for the 2020 election ballot harvesting in jail. Why should the Democrats stop now?