There’s more than a path out of the political wilderness for Donald Trump.
Indeed, if the presidential election took place today Trump could win. He certainly would win if these numbers in these states are accurate.
As POLITICO reports:
The five states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — delivered a total of 73 electoral votes in 2020, enough to produce a decisive Electoral College victory for Biden. Since then, Trump has held four rallies, endorsed dozens of candidates and played a key role in shaping contests that could put his allies in top offices in those states in 2024.
Trump’s shadow campaign also recently polled Trump-Biden matchups in the five states, all of which were decided in 2020 by fewer than 3 percentage points. According to the poll, a memo of which was obtained by POLITICO, the former president led Biden in Arizona by 8 percentage points, Georgia by 3 points, Michigan by 12 points, Pennsylvania by 6 points and Wisconsin by 10 points.
A Warning Shot, But for Whom?
Do you think that these numbers leaked as a warning to Democrats or Republicans?
Other 2024 GOP hopefuls believe they can defeat Trump in a primary. Especially since Glenn Youngkin’s victory. Despite high Democratic turnout, Youngkin outperformed Trump in every county in Virginia.
However, Trump’s GOP challengers in 2016 argued that Hillary Clinton would crush him. Still, he beat them and then defeated Hillary.
And Biden currently finds himself in a much worse position than Hillary did.
Democrats Are Worried
Democrats aren’t dismissing Trump’s pollster. Tony Fabrizio has a reputation of providing objective analysis even when his bosses don’t want to hear it. Trump allegedly grew so tired of Fabrizio in 2020 that he sought out other pollsters.
Of the five states surveyed, the poll shows that Georgia is consistently the tightest state between Trump and Biden, while Michigan and Wisconsin appear to be leaning the most heavily toward Trump or away from Biden.
“Our official posture is that this is all about the midterms, and in some ways it is,” said one Trump adviser who spoke anonymously and was not authorized to comment on his behalf. “But this is all about Trump and the movement and what happens in 2024. Trump wants a rematch so badly with Biden he can taste it.”
So what do you think? Would another GOP nominee outperform Trump in a head-to-head matchup with Joe Biden in 2024? Tell us your thoughts in the comments below!